OPTIONS CRT; SUPRES @W ; NAME KLEINI 'KLEIN Model I - Chapter 12 of P&R' ; ? FREQ A; LOAD ; SMPL 20,40 ; GENR K = K1(+1); SMPL 41,41 ; GENR K = K(-1) + I; SMPL 20,41 ; GENR TX=YT-Y ; ? Indirect Taxes GENR TM=YEAR-1931 ; ? Time trend GENR W = W1+W2 ; ? Total Wages GENR E = Y+TX-W2 ; ? GDP less Govt. Wages ? PARAM A1-A12; ? ? KLEIN-I, (See Calzolari and Panattoni, Rothenberg, Hausman). ? ? Behavioral Equations ? FRML CON CX = A1 + A2*P + A3*P(-1) + A4*(W1+W2) ; FRML INV I = A5 + A6*P + A7*P(-1) + A8*K(-1) ; FRML WAGES W1 = A9 + A10*(Y+TX-W2) + A11*(Y(-1)+TX(-1)-W2(-1)) + A12*TM ; ? ? Identities ? SMPL 20,41 ; IDENT I4 Y = CX + I + G - TX; GENR I4; IDENT I5 P = Y - W1 - W2; GENR I5; IDENT KAP K = K(-1)+I ; ? LIST KENDOG CX I W1 Y P K; ? Endogenous variables LIST IVS C TM G TX P(-1) K(-1) E(-1) ; ? Exogenous variables LIST KEQ CON INV WAGES I4 I5 KAP; ? Equations of the model SMPL 21,41 ; ? ? 2SLS Estimation. ? 2SLS (INST=IVS) CX C P P(-1) W ; 2SLS (INST=IVS) I C P P(-1) K(-1) ; 2SLS (INST=IVS) W1 C E E(-1) TM ; ? ? SUR Estimation. ? SUR CON INV WAGES ; ? ? Multivariate Regression (Iterated SUR). ? LSQ CON INV WAGES ; ? ? 3SLS Estimation. ? 3SLS (INST=IVS) CON INV WAGES ; ? STOP ; END ; ? NOPRINT; SMPL 20 41 ; ? Data are consumption, investment, govt. spending, pre-tax income, ? capital stock lagged, profits, private wages, govt. wages, GDP. LOAD YEAR CX I G YT K1 P W1 W2 Y ; 1920 39.8 2.7 4.6 47.1 180.1 12.7 28.8 2.2 43.7 1921 41.9 -.2 6.6 48.3 182.8 12.4 25.5 2.7 40.6 1922 45.0 1.9 6.1 53.0 182.6 16.9 29.3 2.9 49.1 1923 49.2 5.2 5.7 60.1 184.5 18.4 34.1 2.9 55.4 1924 50.6 3.0 6.6 60.2 189.7 19.4 33.9 3.1 56.4 1925 52.6 5.1 6.5 64.2 192.7 20.1 35.4 3.2 58.7 1926 55.1 5.6 6.6 67.3 197.8 19.6 37.4 3.3 60.3 1927 56.2 4.2 7.6 68.0 203.4 19.8 37.9 3.6 61.3 1928 57.3 3.0 7.9 68.2 207.6 21.1 39.2 3.7 64.0 1929 57.8 5.1 8.1 71.0 210.6 21.7 41.3 4.0 67.0 1930 55.0 1.0 9.4 65.4 215.7 15.6 37.9 4.2 57.7 1931 50.9 -3.4 10.7 58.2 216.7 11.4 34.5 4.8 50.7 1932 45.6 -6.2 10.2 49.6 213.3 7.0 29.0 5.3 41.3 1933 46.5 -5.1 9.3 50.7 207.1 11.2 28.5 5.6 45.3 1934 48.7 -3.0 10.0 55.7 202.0 12.3 30.6 6.0 48.9 1935 51.3 -1.3 10.5 60.5 199.0 14.0 33.2 6.1 53.3 1936 57.7 2.1 10.3 70.1 197.7 17.6 36.8 7.4 61.8 1937 58.7 2.0 11.0 71.7 199.8 17.3 41.0 6.7 65.0 1938 57.5 -1.9 13.0 68.6 201.8 15.3 38.2 7.7 61.2 1939 61.6 1.3 14.4 77.3 199.9 19.0 41.6 7.8 68.4 1940 65.0 3.3 15.4 83.7 201.2 21.1 45.0 8.0 74.1 1941 69.7 4.9 22.3 96.9 204.5 23.5 53.3 8.5 85.3 ; END ;